Washington Statistical Society Presents: Statistics and Presidential Elections
Cost: Free!
Where: Gonzaga College High School, 19 I Street, NW Washington, DC 20001 - Cantwell Hall, Room 222
When: Friday, October 7, 2016, 4:00-5:30 p.m.
Informal reception to follow at approximately 5:45 p.m. at East Street Cafe on the mezzanine level of Union Station.

Speaker: Clyde Tucker, CNN and American Institutes for Research and Bureau of Labor Statistics (retired)
Chair: Carol L. Howald, Assistant Professor and Co-Chair, Department of Mathematics, Howard Community College
Sponsors: WSS Statistics Education Committee and Gonzaga College High School

Dr. Tucker is the chief statistician for CNN for their November election forecasts. In this talk he will describe how CNN and other networks make their election night decision as to when they have enough information to provide the public with projected winners. The talk will be understandable to a wide audience, including high school and college students and faculty members, with only a knowledge of introductory statistics. Directions to Gonzaga College High School can be found here.

RSVP: To be placed on the seminar attendance list or if you want to attend the seminar remotely, please email Carol Joyce Blumberg at cblumberg@gmail.com by October 5, 2016.

Methods of Polling and Election Prediction
When: October 24, 2016 3:30pm-6:30pm
Where: Microsoft Innovation & Policy Center, 901 K Street Northwest 11th Floor, Washington, DC
Cost: Early bird and member rates available- see Eventbrite
Register here

Two weeks before the election, DC-AAPOR offers an event where top pollsters give their thoughts on who will win the election and how they make those calls.

If you follow the Upshot's poll comparison site or Huffington Post's Pollster, then this event is for you. We bring together polling experts to discuss two topics on the minds of all who follow the polls. The first session will discuss the role for telephone surveys in the polls of the future. The second session will discuss the methods used by poll aggregators to produce state and national estimates for the presidential race. The evening will conclude with a happy hour.

Join DC-AAPOR colleagues at Microsoft's K Street offices to learn more about present and future methods in polling and continue the discussion during a happy hour with complimentary drinks and snacks afterwards. Register for this event on Eventbrite.

DC-AAPOR and the Roper Center present... 2016 Election Polling: A Postmortem - Just What Do Voters Expect?
When: November 16, 2016 3:00pm-5:30pm
Where: The Gallup Building, 901 F Street, NW The Great Hall, (2nd Floor)
Cost: Free!
Register here

This event is an opportunity to gather with colleagues and industry leaders to look back over the year, digest the recent election results, and examine implications for our profession and for the next administration. There will be plenty of time for discussion to hear from the many pollsters and consultants in town for the Roper Center's Mitofsky Award Dinner. This postmortem's panel will include several distinguished guests:

  • Susan Page is the Washington Bureau chief of USA TODAY, covering her ninth presidential campaign. She's interviewed the past eight presidents and reported from five continents.
  • David Winston is president of The Winston Group, a strategic planning and survey research firm. He has served as a strategic advisor to Senate and House Republican leadership for the past fourteen years.
  • Celinda Lake is president of Lake Research Partners and is one of the Democratic Party's leading political strategists, serving as tactician and senior adviser to the national party committees, dozens of Democratic incumbents and challengers at all levels of the electoral process.
  • Frank Newport is Editor-in-Chief of the Gallup Poll. He has been Gallup's chief pollster for more than 20 years and a past president of AAPOR. He is currently a member of the Board of Directors at the Roper Center.

    The panel will be chaired by Susan Pinkus, former director of LA Times poll, currently a public opinion and strategic analysis consultant.

    Registration is required. However, there is no charge for this event, and a ticket for the Mitofsky Award Dinner is not required. If you are interested in attending the Roper Center's Mitofsky Award Dinner, please click here.